Most folks completely misunderstand today’s silver market. Even more are unaware of the disconnect between physical metal and the highly leveraged paper promises, most commonly traded, thanks to large investment banks and bullion dealers. Oh sure, they believe silver’s spot offering (price) is relatively close to the physical silver market…… but they are mistaken (today we will prove just how unfortunate this is playing out to be). The PM crash in April of 2013 disrupted, maybe added is a better description, an alternative buying option, but this new option does come with a hefty price. If you’re one of the many silver hopefuls, and looking for immediate silver possession, please read today’s post closely. With that, welcome to the mysterious world of secondhand silver.
Lake Tahoe is one of the most unique lakes in North America. With 72 miles of shoreline and a depth of over 1600 feet, Lake Tahoe also has one other very unique characteristic. Although invisible to the eye, a state boundary runs through the middle of Lake Tahoe. Both California and Nevada lay claim to the pride of the Sierra Nevada mountain range.
Today’s silver market reminds this writer of Lake Tahoe because it too has an invisible barrier. The line between online physical silver for sale compared to cash-n-carry physical silver is now obvious. Let me explain it like this. A silver order placed today could take a month or longer to reach a nervous silver buyer; but an in-person silver transaction is immediate. The latter option is one our industry often calls the secondhand PM (precious metal) market.
Over 90% of the world’s investors view the price of silver in a paper dimension, as aforementioned. They see silver’s recent decline and say, “Thank goodness I didn’t invest in silver”, but not realizing paper silver is running a distant third in the great PM race of 2013. To expand this racing analogy, online physical silver (silver available to purchase but weeks or months until deliverable) is running a respectable second position.
Our silver runner in first place is our focus today. This, of course, includes all physical silver available in real time AND held by some entity willing to sell. The list shown below illustrates the mysterious three silver options of ownership priced in one ounce bullion.
1. Paper silver. $24.00
2. Online physical silver (back-ordered). $30.00
3. On-demand secondhand physical silver. $34 – $37
No one knows when but it’s almost a sure bet that someday very soon silver buyers will have no other option than secondhand silver (most costly of all silver offerings) or speculate within the paper PM market. Sure some buyers will win the silver lottery with a limited opportunity to buy rationed online silver (Blanchard, Miles Franklin, Colorado Gold, etc) but this certainly will not be the norm. What will be normal is the realization of paying what the few willing to sell will accept.
It’s impossible to accurately estimate the additional premium for future secondhand silver. If I must, I would guess the secondhand silver market will soon escalate to a 100% premium over spot (or paper value) and then eventually reach a constant somewhere around 500% to 1000%, over silver’s spot offering, just as our economy reaches the epicenter of economic correction. I only base this estimation on the similarity between 2008s silver market to today’s – realizing the world’s fiat currencies then are nowhere close to today’s level of printing.
Please take one more glance at the three options listed above because 99% of the folks contemplating silver, but yet to own any, STILL BELIEVE THEY CAN PURCHASE AN UNLIMITED AMOUNT OF PHYSICAL SILVER FOR $24 PER OUNCE. This miscalculation will become more costly from here forward.
Precious metals are an unsolvable mystery. Today’s economic and political actions affect tomorrow’s silver availability. Then, a limited availability affects, or drives up, the price of physical silver. What affects the price of physical silver the least is paper silver. If you’re relatively new to silver please pay particularly close attention to the next sentence or two. The price of secondhand silver is worth it ESPECIALLY if new to physical silver. After some accumulation it is perfectly okay to purchase online physical metal (back ordered as I write this) while patiently waiting for its arrival.
QUESTION: A large standup style safe will not work under my PM storage situation. Do you recommend using a bank box or passive method of storage in such a case? Thanks.
TPS Reply: Not exactly but thanks for the question. My view of a secure PM storage plan includes using up to three storage options. I believe in taking a proactive approach to PM storage by thinking like a thief who is willing to part you from your metal. Most individuals storing silver and gold think in one dimension and this greatly concerns me. The right PM storage plan really does come down to each individual’s situation.
I recommend storing at least 1/3 of your PM within arm’s reach. This 1/3 can be stored many ways and a standup safe is one of but several options I recommend in Storing Silver & Gold. For less than $200 a security minded individual can purchase, and install, a compact safe perfect for securing what you’ve worked hard to amass (please check out Costco.com).
Bank boxes serve a limited purpose and I only recommend this storage option during extended travel or for the elderly uncomfortable with personally securing something like PMs within the home. BTW, don’t forget to insure all of your PM regardless how or where it’s stored. Thanks for the question and reading TPS.
COMMENT: Continuing to read and enjoy the straightforward approach at TPS. I’m recommending TPS to anyone waking up to reality and wondering what is going on economically and how to protect themselves.
TPS Reply: Great, thanks for the recommendation. You mentioned something that caught my eye regarding protection. This really is about protection in an age when preservation is so important. So many complain about today’s fiscal insanity and all the economic and social volatility that accompanies such an age but few actually make a personal attempt to insulate themselves when possible.
I see the option to protect by way of PM as a closing window; even silver will soon become either too expensive for most or flat out unavailable. This is why I’m beating the PM drum ever so loudly while we still have choices to transfer our personal wealth beyond traditional avenues exposed to heavy taxation and capital controls.
Looking back……. I made a few PM mistakes by not knowing the best metal to buy and from whom. But each miscue led me to a new monetary understanding that now allows me to think for myself. My hope is each reader spending precious time with TPS develops this same understanding as well. Thanks for the comment.
The world’s most powerful man continues to tease our media with hints of slowing the printing pace, but those trusting PM know this is only lip service. Unfortunately, our press repeats such nonsense without verification (see the quote below). Central bankers now realize economies worldwide depend on currency counterfeiting just to sustain today’s level of a failed economy AND support the millions who depend on some form of government assistance to live. There is zero chance quantitative easing will end anytime soon.
“A bigger-than-expected rise in tax receipts to Washington has improved the U.S. fiscal outlook, and the Treasury and private analysts have been taken by surprise by how quickly the deficit is shrinking. Belt tightening in the wake of the series of mandatory budget cuts worth $85 billion – known as the “sequester” – could further reduce federal borrowing needs if it doesn’t inflict lasting damage to the economy”. Reuters May 2, 2013.
A bigger-than-expected rise in tax receipts is only beneficial under fiscal restraint. The latest housing boom, and then bust, provided both record levels of tax receipts and a continuance of record deficit borrowing. This means in good times or bad, the size of government grows regardless. Does anyone really believe a reduction in government spending will happen voluntarily or redirect government to live within their means?
Everything from funding pensions to printing food stamps now depends on the next level of debt creation to sustain itself. The thought of reducing debt, or a reduction in currency printing, is no longer an option. This fact alone will continue to create adverse economic conditions and cause PM prices to rise beyond what even the PM faithful can imagine.
DC Carlton is founder of The Prospector Site and author of the Amazon Kindle #1 Bestseller Why Silver and Gold Will Go Higher and Storing Silver & Gold. If you’re looking for trustworthy PM assistance feel free to contact DC regarding his personalized consulting service. TPS doesn’t sell silver or gold; we represent you, the buyer, looking for affordable precious metal from honest trustworthy sources. Feel free to register here for his free online newsletter that provides precious metal insight rarely mentioned from mainstream media sources.