September 2008 was not a good month for most DJIA investors. It took less than seven September hours to drain $1.2 trillion from shareholders as the DOW index experienced a meltdown the likes Charles Dow never considered possible. Today’s gold decline reminds me of September 08′s DJIA in many ways. The same fear, same economic darkness, the same “will values ever come back?“, too.
I have no idea what prompts you to read a blog like TPS (The Prospector Site). Some read for assurance, some search for protection, and some want nothing more than to leverage gold/silver for profit. The latter are greatly disappointed as of summer 2013; my fear is this disappointment has a short shelf life.
Brave DOW investors who beat back the uncertainty of 2008 were well rewarded. These vivacious souls understood a 7617 point DOW drop over a few weeks could equal huge returns for those more focused on profit than protection.
After all, it’s always the few who stand strong that profit the most while all others run for the exits.
I’m no DOW fan, but it’s undeniable that investors have profited greatly since the days of 2008 volatility. Is it possible these same brave investors realized that stock holdings within profitable companies should not have declined in such a waterfall fashion, as they did fall 2008? Smart stock investors realized that such a bargain was a closing window of discounted opportunity.
Today’s physical silver or gold opportunity reminds me of the discounted blue-chip stock offerings of late 2008. I won’t speculate when precious metal prices will rebound but I can guarantee one thing. An ounce of physical silver, or gold, is worth far more today than what a person can buy it for, just like a 2008 blue chip stock.
Profit or protection:
If you’re protection minded, PM speaking, then the latest PM price drop means little…… maybe even nothing. Your plan is all about long-term fiscal prudence all while realizing a currency built on overpopulation (printing) cannot sustain value or buying power forever. A temporary waterfall decline within your PM plan – although disheartening – means little when compared to your plan of preservation, self-reliance, and independence.
The PM protectionist views profitability as a byproduct of wealth preservation. They also view the ability to transport wealth as an avenue to rebuild after a currency and government prove themselves as less permanent than what 99% of our neighbors would like to believe. The fact is history has not ruled in favor of print friendly economies or fiat currencies, never.
July 2013 is extremely unique for those who still trust physical PM. Generally I write from a precious metal long-term point of view, you probably already know this. But today’s PM opportunity is on the verge of presenting a shorter term position for profitability. If this is of interest……. please read on.
From this point forward I want to be perfectly clear. This writing creation you’re reading is presented, and should be interpreted, as a form of short-term speculation. Speculation is nothing more than a tally of risk compared to monetary reward and only played by those who can truly afford it.
We are soon to hit a PM bottom, this I’m sure of. I don’t know when or how low but the price of physical silver or gold will soon change her recent course. When it does the potential for quick profit is very real, but still not for everyone. Make sure you don’t confuse long-term PM prudence with the risks of speculation.
QUESTION: I hate to ask but must, have we reached a bottom for gold? Oil prices are zooming but precious metal prices are still in decline. Care to speculate?
TPS Reply: Thanks for asking, and reading TPS. “No”, my opinion is we’re not out of this temporary fog of PM volatility and gold prices could fall accordingly. It’s impossible to predict how many weeks or months this downtrend will last. But it will end and when it does paper investors will drum a rhythm of precious metal opportunity, and the bulls will run again. We’ve seen this many times before and this time will be no different.
As mentioned over the last couple of posts; I’m not buying silver or gold at this point. I’m storing the cash just like I would PM waiting for the PM market to stabilize. Why buy now when the same dollars will buy more ounces, most likely, in the very near future? I can do this because I’m already PM protected. What about you?
Now, as for your crude question, oil that is. The situation in Egypt is stirring oil uncertainty and we can only speculate how this volatility will translate into pump prices. My guess, this is only a sign of the times and I’m personally not expecting cheaper pump prices anytime soon. Will rising crude prices drag PM prices up, very possible but not worth betting the farm, IMO?
Some economists believe a rising dollar index has more to do with the current price of precious metal far over anything else. I won’t disagree, but believe the PM decline we’ve watched since April of 2013 has as much to do with a paper PM sell-off dragging down physical values too. Regardless, both forces are only temporarily influential over the long term.
DC Carlton is founder of The Prospector Site and author of the Amazon Kindle #1 Bestsellers Why Silver and Gold Will Go Higher and Storing Silver & Gold. If you’re looking for trustworthy PM assistance feel free to contact DC regarding his personalized consulting service. TPS doesn’t sell silver or gold; we represent you, the buyer, looking for affordable precious metal from honest trustworthy sources. Feel free to register here for his free online newsletter that provides precious metal insight rarely mentioned from mainstream media sources.