Signs are a forewarning that something important is soon to happen. Arm numbness could be a sign of a heart attack. Night sweats could be an early sign of diabetes. Lately I’ve been searching for signs of a real economic recovery. How else can we explain the latest gold/silver decline, all while the DOW posts another new high, other than a true recovery, right? After all, the great metal sell-off of 2013 can only be attributed to a new found level of economic faith.
Is the city of Detroit a sign of economic recovery? Detroit dropped from a circa 1950ish population of just under two million to less than 700k today. No one counting can be surprised by the bankruptcy of a city when it loses over half of its middle class and industry all while simultaneously growing the state’s pension obligations. Detroit is certainly not a sign of recovery as we watch poverty overtake what was once declared the city of great opportunity.
Nearly half of the wealth of American is stored in real estate. The lion’s share of this wealth rests in single-family homes known as a principal residence. But just as we’re led to believe the great housing recovery is unstoppable (housing bubble 2.0) news of a recent major decline in new mortgage applications say otherwise. Is it possible our great housing recovery could be upended by a 1% increase in mortgage rates?
The signs of a housing recovery are few and far between when the three denominators holding RE values together are cheap money, faith, and leverage.
What is a house worth, in municipalities like Detroit, after stigmatized by bankruptcy? The value of your home is directly affected by the health, and obligation, of your state and local economy.
The anti-recovery list grows longer. The new-found affordability of the Affordable Care Act has to be a sign of recovery, yes? Cities collapsing under the strain of long-term debt and unfunded liabilities have to be a sign of recovery, too. The fact we’ve reached the point of unbridled QE must be the truest sign of real economic recovery.
Why Silver & Gold will rise!!
The positive signs of economic recovery presented by today’s media are nothing more than a monetary distraction. Most individuals have reached a point of no longer willing to think for themselves, not to mention the ability to question those who put motive over principle. If the media or internet says so then it must be true.
I know my stack of PMs will take care of my family’s future for one reason only; what most folks view as financially stable is supported by the ability to create (borrow, print, or tax) currency. Everything from social programs, pensions, real estate values, stocks, banks, etc have reached the point of fiat dependency. This recovery is as real as any structure built upon a foundation of debt leaving no other choice but print of die.
Only the minority now buck this trend of nonstop quantitative easing. The rest, the majority, only argue over how to spend it. Think about this for a moment, please. Can you imagine the Detroit inferno if the evening news reported a significant reduction in social services, section 8 housing, food stamps, disability, etc.? What if a politician announced a monetary commitment to stop deficit spending altogether? The clip below answers it best.
Not only would city streets in every major city burn but the outcry from those invested in paper assets would be so great that the very life of the one proposing such a foolish plan would be in jeopardy.
This “jeopardy” is why your stack of physical silver and gold must rise just to keep a natural order of monetary balance and buying power. The United States, most countries too, have reached the point of no other option than print to appease, both politically and economically speaking.
I know TPS has mentioned this before but we are long past the point of arguing if metal will rise. It must rise, and will rise, as our nation accepts we are to the point of print or burn. TPS recently posted how debt has become a threat to our national security. I’ll go as far to say the domestic threat outweighs the foreign threat when we calculate the growing number of our entitled.
COMMENT: I personally believe the gold bugs are about to be squashed – maybe less than $1000 an ounce!!
TPS Reply: Thanks for the comment. If every prudent person sitting on physical gold had to sell now then “yes”, the gold bugs are soon to be squashed, at least the most recent buyers. But your theory has one giant hole in it when we consider that few bugs are sellers. In fact, many are out buying discounted precious metal.
Let me guess, the DOW is your suggested new opportunity of safe haven? If so, what happens to the value of today’s DJIA if not for perpetual QE? What happens when the DOW has to stand on its own monetary merit? Will the 2008 DOW meltdown pale in comparison when those with wealth realize it’s nothing more than a paper promise?
Bernanke’s pile of printed money supports Wall Street because the lion’s share of this fiat rests on Wall Street. Of course investors in return support WS because they have little choice other than follow the next bubble; can’t you see this? I, for one, will side with the gold bugs by taking my chances with sound money (according to our US Constitution & 5000 years of history).
QUESTION: In your last post, Fake Money Threatens our National Security, you mention the word “printing” but this is inaccurate. The money is nothing more than a digit, not only is it fiat but it doesn’t exist at all…. literally. Your point is noted but you should clarify. Thanks for what you do!!
TPS Reply: Great point, thanks. You’re correct, less than 1/2% of cash deposited actually exists. This number can vary but never anywhere close to a percentage that would make most depositors comfortable. This is why the banking world is deathly afraid of a bank run similar to what happened in Cyprus.
This is also why I recommend keeping most liquidity in cash, silver, or gold form. In my opinion, at least 1/3 of this wealth should be within arm’s reach safely stored in-house or with someone trusted. I wish more folks understood the fragile nature of today’s banking world, fractional reserve lending (banking), fiat currency, and, of course, real money.
Good for you and thanks for the reminder!! By the way to all readers, if this sounds like an overreaction just research the words “bail-in” as it relates to today’s banking institutions. Why not take a proactive stance while this option still exists?
DC Carlton is founder of The Prospector Site and author of the Amazon Kindle #1 Bestsellers Why Silver and Gold Will Go Higher and Storing Silver & Gold. If you’re looking for trustworthy PM assistance feel free to contact DC regarding his personalized consulting service. TPS doesn’t sell silver or gold; we represent you, the buyer, looking for affordable precious metal from honest trustworthy sources. Feel free to register here for his free online newsletter that provides precious metal insight rarely mentioned from mainstream media sources.